There’s a world of difference between “always sounds right, but actually is right 80% of the time” and “always sounds right, but actually is right 99% of the ti

There’s a world of difference between “always sounds right, but actually is right 80% of the time” and “always sounds right, but actually is right 99% of the time.” It has seemed clear to me for a while that we are on the way to the latter though a combination of model improvement and boring, straightforward engineering on scaffolding (e.g., spending additional compute verifying answers by trying to produce counterarguments). Model improvement is maybe less straightforward but the trajectory is undeniable and showing no sign of plateauing.