3 ms·
> by the time Trump is through America will lie in ruins If you had to make that concrete, what would that look like? GDP growth under 2% annually for >3 year
by FergusArgyll 1y ago
> by the time Trump is through America will lie in ruins
If you had to make that concrete, what would that look like?
GDP growth under 2% annually for >3 years?
Dollar losing >50% of its value against a basket of major currencies?
Credit rating downgrade below AA- by major agencies?
Loss of reserve currency status (measured by <40% of global reserves in USD)?
Interstate commerce disruption lasting >30 days?
Mass emigration of >2 million Americans annually?
I'd happily take the other side on any of those, name your price.
- bix6 1y agoI’d argue we’re already there with all the social fragmentation but I reckon we’ll see a measurable decline in scientific output / discovery.
- FergusArgyll 1y agoPatents? Journal articles published?
- bix6 1y agoFunding is already falling ie NSF disbursements so I’d expect the h-index to fall off significantly. So sure patents will fall, journal pubs will fall, enrollment will fall, staff count will fall, total experiment count will fall, grant count will fall.