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The problem with “AI will replace all jobs” hype, is that it also comes with a flavor of “and we all will do creative work”, while in reality AI replaces all th

The problem with “AI will replace all jobs” hype, is that it also comes with a flavor of “and we all will do creative work”, while in reality AI replaces all the creative work and people go back to collecting garbage or other physically demanding and mundane jobs.

freedomben 1y ago
Yep, that's going to be the main outcome I suspect. The bottom 50% or maybe even 80 to 90% of knowledge workers are going to have to go back to physical work. That too will eventually be automated, but I suspect things like construction work (including the many trades wrapped up therein) will be toward the end of that.
- DebtDeflation 1y ago
  Maybe that's why the current administration is pushing so hard to bring back low end manufacturing. If you're a SWE, Accountant, Marketer, HR person, etc. put out of work by AI, now you can screw together iPhones for just over minimum wage. And if we run out of those jobs, there's always picking vegetables now that all the migrants are getting deported. It would not surprise me one bit if the Tech CEOs see things this way.
  - saubeidl 1y ago
    That's how you get a revolution.
throwaway29812 1y ago
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bufferoverflow 1y ago
Why would you think garbage collecting or other mundane jobs won't be automated when much more complex ones are? If AI+robotization gets to the point where most jobs are automated, humans will get to do.what they actually want to do. For some it's endless entertainment. For others it's science exploration, pollution cleanup, space colonization, curing the disease. All of that with the help of the AIs.
- mplanchard 1y ago
  Turns out a simulacrum of intelligence is much easier than dexterous robots. Robots are still nowhere near being able to fold laundry, as far as I know.
- skwee357 1y ago
  By the time robots will be able to do personal trainings in, say, boxing; or fix people’s roofs, humanity will long be dead or turned into power source for said robots.

freedomben 1y ago

Yep, that's going to be the main outcome I suspect. The bottom 50% or maybe even 80 to 90% of knowledge workers are going to have to go back to physical work. That too will eventually be automated, but I suspect things like construction work (including the many trades wrapped up therein) will be toward the end of that.

DebtDeflation 1y ago
Maybe that's why the current administration is pushing so hard to bring back low end manufacturing. If you're a SWE, Accountant, Marketer, HR person, etc. put out of work by AI, now you can screw together iPhones for just over minimum wage. And if we run out of those jobs, there's always picking vegetables now that all the migrants are getting deported. It would not surprise me one bit if the Tech CEOs see things this way.
- saubeidl 1y ago
  That's how you get a revolution.

throwaway29812 1y ago

[dead]

bufferoverflow 1y ago

Why would you think garbage collecting or other mundane jobs won't be automated when much more complex ones are? If AI+robotization gets to the point where most jobs are automated, humans will get to do.what they actually want to do. For some it's endless entertainment. For others it's science exploration, pollution cleanup, space colonization, curing the disease. All of that with the help of the AIs.

mplanchard 1y ago
Turns out a simulacrum of intelligence is much easier than dexterous robots. Robots are still nowhere near being able to fold laundry, as far as I know.
skwee357 1y ago
By the time robots will be able to do personal trainings in, say, boxing; or fix people’s roofs, humanity will long be dead or turned into power source for said robots.