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This is at odds with professional specialisms which take years to learn. I don't think it's likely that AI will obliterate the job category of "lawyer", but th

by pjc50 1y ago

This is at odds with professional specialisms which take years to learn. I don't think it's likely that AI will obliterate the job category of "lawyer", but that's what its boosters are claiming, and people need to make a car to house sized investment at age 18 depending on how true that is.

bluGill 1y ago
it always has been. You make what looks like a good bet and if you are wrong adjust-
- bluefirebrand 1y ago
  How this works for most people in reality is "if you are wrong, you're screwed" Most people do not have the ability to adjust like that, for one reason or another And even if you do, it still means your life is likely to hit an extremely rough patch while your adjusting catches up to where you were before
SoftTalker 1y ago
I think the profession of "laywer" may come to an end sooner rather than later for many, unless they are able to get legislators to ban AI from practicing law. A lot of lawyering is writing in a particular legal vocabulary and style, and forming arguments based on precident, things that an LLM AI should be able to get very good at. It won't be long before an impoverished criminal defendant will be able to chose between an AI that can spend practically unlimited time on his case and have perfect recall of any precident that might be relevant, or an overworked public defender who has 2 hours a week to spare in his schedule.
- jjmarr 1y ago
  Go read lawyers complaining on reddit about pro se litigants using AI. They hallucinate precedents like APIs or get confused about what is supported. If you think SWEs that build the same CRUD apps every day are vulnerable but SWEs that do "real work" aren't, apply that logic to lawyers. Except lawyers don't have an automated compiler to check for fabricated precedents as case law databases are monopolized by one company.
  - freeone3000 1y ago
    It costs money but KeyCite is real.

by pjc50 1y ago

bluGill 1y ago

it always has been. You make what looks like a good bet and if you are wrong adjust-

bluefirebrand 1y ago
How this works for most people in reality is "if you are wrong, you're screwed" Most people do not have the ability to adjust like that, for one reason or another And even if you do, it still means your life is likely to hit an extremely rough patch while your adjusting catches up to where you were before

SoftTalker 1y ago

I think the profession of "laywer" may come to an end sooner rather than later for many, unless they are able to get legislators to ban AI from practicing law. A lot of lawyering is writing in a particular legal vocabulary and style, and forming arguments based on precident, things that an LLM AI should be able to get very good at. It won't be long before an impoverished criminal defendant will be able to chose between an AI that can spend practically unlimited time on his case and have perfect recall of any precident that might be relevant, or an overworked public defender who has 2 hours a week to spare in his schedule.

jjmarr 1y ago
Go read lawyers complaining on reddit about pro se litigants using AI. They hallucinate precedents like APIs or get confused about what is supported. If you think SWEs that build the same CRUD apps every day are vulnerable but SWEs that do "real work" aren't, apply that logic to lawyers. Except lawyers don't have an automated compiler to check for fabricated precedents as case law databases are monopolized by one company.
- freeone3000 1y ago
  It costs money but KeyCite is real.