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Hot take: (meta) prompt engineering will only replace 95% of programming. Which will end up not making a difference to the amount of programming that is happeni
by wongarsu 1y ago
Hot take: (meta) prompt engineering will only replace 95% of programming. Which will end up not making a difference to the amount of programming that is happening. Needing 20 times less human-written code will just mean that software will get more complex, more individualized, will solve problems that so far were not worth writing code for, and will have even worse project management (of the "coding something, then finding out that that's not what the customer wanted" kind).
To stay with the video game analogy: modern tooling, engines, etc have radically simplified game development. What took a team of 10 people six months in the early 90s can now be done better by two people in six weeks. Yet games now employ more developers, take longer to develop, and there are far more games being developed.