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Why don't they make more smaller bets so the risk cancels out?

• littlestymaar 1y ago
  There's only so much information an individual can gather efficiently. If you just rely on your portfolio being as loosely correlated as possible, you are just passively investing. If you want to actively invest, you need to spend a lot of energy understanding the business and industry of the company you are investing in. (And that's actually the theory behind EMH, that in aggregate the market makers have access to all available information, because they all spend a lot of efforts gathering that info. And the underlying theory is correct, EMH is just failing on the game theory part: nobody would bother spend energy to gather that info and make decision out of it if the market was already doing that perfectly).
  • ArtTimeInvestor 1y ago
    Then your answer to my original question: Do you think a single person can rationally decide to invest their time into thinking about the stock market? Is "No". In your experience, the market is not inefficient enough that a single person can make a ROI that is worth the opportunity cost of not working for someone else instead.
    • littlestymaar 1y ago
      Nope, all I said that the only person I know who did it wasn't able to deal with the stress (the main takeaway of this particular story is that I wouldn't advise doing that when you have a lavish lifestyle with a big house credit and a family to feed all by yourself).