If rare events are unsurprising then I think you've defined surprising events out of existence? I mean, sure, someone will win the lottery, but it would very su

If rare events are unsurprising then I think you've defined surprising events out of existence? I mean, sure, someone will win the lottery, but it would very surprising if it happened to you. I guess this is just point of view. "Someone won the lottery" and "I won the lottery" describe the same event from very different perspectives.