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> Yet we're what? 5 years into "AI will replace programmers in 6 months"? Realistically, we're 2.5 years into it at most.
by jjani 1y ago
> Yet we're what? 5 years into "AI will replace programmers in 6 months"?
Realistically, we're 2.5 years into it at most.
- hansmayer 1y agoNo, the hype cycle started around 2019, slowly at first. The technology this is built with is more like 20 years old, so no, we are not 2.5 years at most really.
- micromacrofoot 1y agowe're 2.5 years into the current hype trend, no way was this mainstream until at least 2022
- godelski 1y agoGPT3 dropped in 2020. That's when it hit mainstream
- Auracle 1y agoGPT3 wasn't that impressive. GPT 3.5 is when it became "oh wow, this could really change things," and that was 2022.
- hansmayer 1y agoIt certainly made a heavy impression on this tiny new outlet called NYT in 2020 : https://archive.is/QtpMT https://archive.is/QtpMT
- micromacrofoot 1y agoI feel like no one was really talking about this stuff until midjourney and dalle, but I can agree to disagree
- famouswaffles 1y agoGPT-3 shook the research world but it was by no means mainstream until the ChatGPT release in Nov 2022.
- jjani 1y agoIf you can quote anyone well-known saying we'd be replacing programmers in 6 months back in 2019, I'd be interested to read it.
- woke_ai_god 1y agoNeural networks go back a lot further than 20 years ago. It was considered a research dead end for a long time though.