4 ms·
I don't get it. As I understand the article: 1. There was a model in 1972. 2. That model predicts collapse in the mid 2020s. 3. A new group has recalibrated
by lucumo 1y ago
I don't get it.
As I understand the article:
1. There was a model in 1972.
2. That model predicts collapse in the mid 2020s.
3. A new group has recalibrated the model with modern data.
4. The model still predicts collapse.
How does that support the title that the model is right about collapse? To support that you need verification against the real world or against a trusted model.
- omnimus 1y agoI guess we can simply wait few years…
- eru 1y agoYes. My simple prediction: no collapse, business as usual. Perhaps the climate will get a bit warmer and that will be expensive to deal with and there will be some human and natural tragedies. But by and large people will deal and there won't be any collapse.
- Vasbarlog 1y agoThere's a great 3-part podcast series about Limits to Growth https://tippingpoint-podcast.com https://tippingpoint-podcast.com I have also transcribed the whole podcast here: https://tohippo.com/tipping-point-the-true-story-of-the-limits-to-growth/ https://tohippo.com/tipping-point-the-true-story-of-the-limi...