I am not in position to compare the two. But, the housing market was growing globally and so fast that the it was obvious it is artificial. However, if you sai

I am not in position to compare the two. But, the housing market was growing globally and so fast that the it was obvious it is artificial. However, if you said that, yeah that's the answer you actually got. "arbitrarily calling a bottom without any justification other than an efficient market hypothesis" the deal is that you should not make predictions on what the outcome you need to be. Rather, correct you predictions and adjust your investments.