The question though is the rate of growth. To get the kind of “end of scarcity AGI” advertised by Sam Altman probably requires continuous over year exponentia

The question though is the rate of growth. To get the kind of “end of scarcity AGI” advertised by Sam Altman probably requires continuous over year exponential growth. Will that happen in the normal course of LLM research? Or will it be more gradual, and the exponential growth will come from future paradigm shifts. I’m arguing the second.