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There's the software factory hypothesis though that states that LLMs will bring down the level of skill required to produce software, reducing the skill bar req

by uludag 1y ago

There's the software factory hypothesis though that states that LLMs will bring down the level of skill required to produce software, reducing the skill bar required to produce the same software (i.e. automation leads to SWE being like working on factory line). In this scenario, unskilled cheap labor would be desired, making juniors more preferable. My guess though is that the lack of hiring is simply a result of the over saturation of the market. Just looking at the growth of CS degrees awarded you have to conclude that we'd be in such a situation eventually.

roenxi 1y ago
The equilibriums wouldn't quite work out that way. The companies would still hire the most capable software engineers (why not?), but the threat of being replaced by cheap juniors means that they don't have much leverage and their wages drop. It'll still be grizzled veterans and competitive hiring processes looking for people with lots of experience. These things don't happen overnight though, it'll probably take a few years yet for the shock of whatever is going on right now to really play out.