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People have been saying that for decades. Oil isn’t going anywhere anytime soon
by slashdev 1y ago
People have been saying that for decades. Oil isn’t going anywhere anytime soon
- bryanlarsen 1y agoThey've been saying it "will be replaced" for decades. I'm saying it "is being replaced". Big difference. 1 TW of solar and 20% of car sales are massive numbers we've never seen before.
- slashdev 1y agoIt’s not being replaced yet. Oil demand is higher than ever. Solar doesn’t compete with oil, it competes with other electricity generation like coal and gas. But even that is not declining yet, globally. Global coal demand may finally have reached its peak, if we’re being optimistic. Natural gas and oil demand are still increasing.
- bryanlarsen 1y agoOil demand is down in 2025. ICE car sales are down substantially since 2017.
- slashdev 1y agoOil demand is still increasing worldwide. It won’t peak for at least a decade, but probably much longer. There are more ICE cars on the road than ever.
- slashdev 1y ago> Global oil demand is projected to increase in 2025 compared to 2024, but the growth rate is expected to slow down. The International Energy Agency (IEA) anticipates a decrease in global oil demand growth for the remainder of 2025, but expects demand to reach 104 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2025, a notable increase from 2024. Perhaps you meant the pace of growth is slowing this year. But that has a lot to do with the macro economic situation, with central banks around the world cutting rates as growth slows (and some countries enter recession.) The global economy is slowing, when it rebounds again, so will growth in oil demand. We're still far from peak demand.