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Expand on that last? How would you anticipate a drought or flood from a bell curve? These are independent rolls… you’re not heading into gambler’s fallacy terri
by brookst 1y ago
Expand on that last? How would you anticipate a drought or flood from a bell curve? These are independent rolls… you’re not heading into gambler’s fallacy territory, are you?
- toast0 1y agoWith a dice deck, you no longer have independent rolls, and you can count cards. You could probably mitigate by shuffling early, like casinos do for blackjack.
- frollogaston 1y agoWhy would anyone even use a dice deck then, to stop people from complaining about the law of small numbers?
- sdwr 1y ago> dice decks
- asciimov 1y agoThe dice deck has a perfect bell curve of dice rolls, this means the same number of 6’s and 8’s, 4’s and 10’s. If you go on a tear you can pull most of the 6’s from the deck in short order, a flood. Making it difficult or impossible to pull anymore till the deck is reshuffled, the drought. Meanwhile the odds of pulling other cards go up. This is somewhat mitigated with cards that require you to reshuffle the deck. Even with shuffle cards included the numbers are too evenly distributed or balanced removing any feeling of randomness or luck from the game.
- brookst 1y agoAn sorry, I missed the deck part and thought we were talking about dice. Yes, a dice deck sampled without replacement allows card counting.