3 ms·

If you believe trendlines are guaranteed to remain pointing one way, can you reason?

• ninetyninenine 1y ago
  Maybe if you could "reason" you'll see I never said "guaranteed." Obviously the trendline points to the most probable outcome. If you HAVE to bet, bet on probability. It's the most reasonable answer.
  • necovek 1y ago
    Trendlines are a way to represent some statistical data. Probability can help predict things with enough instances of an event — statistics are only a small part of how we establish a probability of a future event, and a core ingredient of even that small part is having a sufficiently representative sample (which "trendlines" usually don't). Eg. you can get statistics for all the winning lottery tickets from the last 5 years — that won't help you predict the next one. Stop confusing the two.
    • ninetyninenine 1y ago
      It’s probability. If a trending or pattern exists there’s a higher probability that the pattern continues into the future. No such pattern exists for the lottery. Stop being stupid.