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The technology to discover and retrieve minerals from asteroids is likely to be simpler than resolving politics and economics of it: In order to sell the miner
by squonk 14y ago
The technology to discover and retrieve minerals from asteroids is likely to be simpler than resolving politics and economics of it:
In order to sell the minerals, there must be a way to attain ownership.
How does one come to own an asteroid, or the minerals it contains?
A land grab under a single government is manageable. When there are 200 sovereign states, who decides which asteroids are owned by whom? First to discover? First to land? First to return minerals? Passed though a parsec I have rights to? Or perhaps you don't own the minerals until you cross low-earth orbit with them in your possession. Sign me up as an asteroid pirate.
If a company does attain ownership of an asteroid, can they sell the asteroid before ever landing on it? Will asteroid futures be traded on the CME?
If an asteroid is found to contain 100 tons of palladium, what happens to the palladium market? (Cha-ching! I hold put options on Pd!)
Ya, far more interesting....
Wired started a dialog with: http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2012/05/opinion-asteroid-mining/ http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2012/05/opinion-asteroid-m...
Discussed ownership, but there is no answer.
The Economist touched on it: "The most important members of the team, then, may not be the entrepreneurs and venture capitalists who put up the drive and the money, nor the engineers who build the hardware that makes it all possible, but the economists who try to work out the effect on the price of platinum when a mountain of the stuff arrives from outer space."
http://www.economist.com/node/21553419 http://www.economist.com/node/21553419
- cwilson 14y agoYou've clearly not played EVE Online. This sounds like a joke, but it's probably the closest thing out there to an example of what the future will be like if mining of asteroids becomes insanely lucrative (and technology advances fast enough for us to even witness it). Someone who's played EVE for a significant amount of time (it's been years since I've touched any game) could probably answer everything above. This is all to say that we'll of course fight over it.
- squonk 14y agoHaven't played it, to my regret. Seems like, loosely speaking, chasing down sunken treasure, or possibly wildcatting for oil can offer precedent in some form. The notion of 'international waters' perhaps can apply to space. However, someone, sometime owned the treasure that was lost and may lay claim to it. My real question is, apparently, nations can not claim ownership of asteroids. But they will have to mutually define the legal ways any citizen or corporation on Earth can acquire ownership. What is the most likely method, once they all agree on it? Planetary Resources is at the same time forcing the issue by proceeding with their endeavor, and, making a pretty big bet that when the laws are in place, they will have legally acquired their booty.
- Devilboy 14y agoI don't see the problem. If you mine it, it's yours.
- danielweber 14y agoIf there are dozens of parties going for space, then they might fight for it. As is, I think we'll be lucky to just have one.