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Hiring is down across the board in tech jobs. Brain drains occurring because its no longer economically viable and the most competent people with options will m
by trod1234 1y ago
Hiring is down across the board in tech jobs. Brain drains occurring because its no longer economically viable and the most competent people with options will move to other areas and not turn back. There are people with 10 years of experience doing the job that can't find jobs in the field. I think you neglect how much the factor market has shrunk.
It is a mistake to compare what's happened with past events and assume the future holds something similar. Anyone losing money on the stock market knows this intuitively. Its survivor bias.
The problem also isn't about what to do with young people. That's a red herring.
The critical problem is, what naturally happens in a sequential pipeline when nothing goes in, and the pipeline finishes having the remaining people coming out of it. Eventually its empty.
At that point, no one will be able to hire such talent because it won't exist anymore, not at any price. The cost of labor in getting rid of those positions may drop in the short run, but then you get infinite cost for those positions that you need to replace in the form of you simply can't find people.
Its what engineer's call a cascade failure. These are usually catastrophic, and rarely noticed at first except as a rule in blood (after the fact). You don't notice until its too late to do anything but that's a problem for next quarter thanks to money-printing/debt issuance, and it will keep being that until its too late.
This is the problem when the majority of people have lost objective reality, which many people have slowly been noticing since 2016, and its just been growing worse.
The smart competent people warn and ring the alarm bells, nothing happens, things get worse, braindrain happens because the competent people withdraw to focus on their own futures, and the cycle continues until it cannot. A runaway feedback loop.