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Thanks for the reply. Some thoughts: 1) I don’t know that the freeing up of the “high skill worker” turns out as rosy as you paint it. My observation (I don’t
by edot 1y ago
Thanks for the reply. Some thoughts:
1) I don’t know that the freeing up of the “high skill worker” turns out as rosy as you paint it. My observation (I don’t have data on this, but it’s supported by driving through any medium-sized midwest city) is that technology leads to 10 low skill workers being replaced by 1 high skill worker operating machinery (or by offshore labor). People and entire cities are truly being left behind, not just experiencing a widening of a wage gap. What’s the solution here to people who aren’t economically viable anymore? I’m not sure. UBI maybe, but that’s a whole other can of worms.
2) I think there are ways of taxing wealth that aren’t very complex or onerous (eliminating the step up in basis for estates over a certain size would be one). They’re probably not running the business much anymore, especially since they’re not alive. If you still don’t like that, then taxing the huge loans billionaires take out and then pay for with stock that has grown faster than the interest rate on the loan (which aren’t technically income) as income would be huge.
3) Your last point about inequality being age-based is absolutely true (compound interest is amazing), but I think (and this is backed by the data) that our starting point (talking about income, here) as younger people is, even inflation adjusted, worse, and thus our compounding is starting from a much lower initial level. Assets we’d buy to hopefully compound are already so dang expensive that it’s hard to imagine them continuing to compound as they have. Further, I think it’s unlikely we will see the rates of growth we’ve seen over the last few decades for the next few. We’ve grown so fast, and true fundamentals (population decline, resource overusage, climate change) are going to make it hard to continue at this rate.
- LorenPechtel 1y ago1) You are right that many low skill workers get replaced by one high skill worker, but that's not what I'm talking about. Rather, I'm talking about the jobs that were already high skill. I'm a programmer--these days I spend a lot less time dealing with the low level how, much more at the high level direction. Thus a given amount of effort produces a lot more user value. And, fundamentally, income reflects the value we create. Consider:When I was in school nobody had heard of a spell checker. Then some serious skill went into making a spell checker that would fit one disk. Now a spell checker of that level could be a class assignment. 2) Please, keep the step-up! Note that the rich pay more in inheritance tax than they gain from the step-up. And the step-up acts as a fire break against sins of the past. I had to deal with my mother's estate. Oops--she didn't really know what she was doing with financial matters, she had kept everything less than 7 years old. All the stuff dealing with the basis for her house was older than that. Fortunately that was back when there was a one-time capital gains exclusion on your house--I gave up on trying to figure it out, reported the basis at $0 and used the deduction. 3) They aren't worse compared to their parents at that point in their life.