In that specific case, Russians needed 8 minutes out of the 10-minute decision window to rule out a nuclear attack. And the key factor was that the rocket was n

In that specific case, Russians needed 8 minutes out of the 10-minute decision window to rule out a nuclear attack. And the key factor was that the rocket was not headed towards Russia. Now imagine that this is not a random peacetime incident but something that happens when both parties are expecting a war. This time the rocket is actually heading towards the capital or another strategic target. It's not a single rocket but a fleet of tens or even hundreds of rockets. And it's not a one-off incident but something that repeats a hundred times over the course of multiple wars. What are the chances that the target never misinterprets it as a nuclear attack? And what are the chances that the attacker never chooses to use nuclear weapons, after everyone has learned that an attack like this is not a nuclear attack?