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Faster CPUs, better screens, helpful IDEs, heck even Gen-AI itself did not reduce the need for software engineers let alone decrease the costs. As mentioned in

Faster CPUs, better screens, helpful IDEs, heck even Gen-AI itself did not reduce the need for software engineers let alone decrease the costs. As mentioned in another comment, The Jevons Paradox implies that in certain industries, increased productivity may actually lead to more consumption (therefore propping up the demand / cost) despite not being intuitive so. The only industries that has observed the opposite effect I can think of so far are translators and stock photographers. Maybe also proof readers - but is that gen Ai or did spellcheckers already kill that branch?

vjvjvjvjghv 1y ago
Software engineers could spread out into new areas and find new things to do. Unless I am mistaken, the work of radiologists is more defined.
- lostlogin 1y ago
  > Software engineers could spread This is key. Radiologists that can program (or software engineers that do medicine) make a massive difference. When someone explains what they want and it’s built for them, you get a very different product to that built by the user. I want more radiologists that can write software please.
  - seesthruya 1y ago
    I'm a radiologist that can program! I've authored and contributed to several open source projects over the years, and I'm currently doing a deep dive in CAD/CAM after buying a CNC machine. I help my practice where I can, and have written a little utility to make generating reports easier, but I would have to quit my job if I was trying to take on the absolutely enormous task of radiology computer aides diagnosis. And I need my job!
    - lostlogin 1y ago
      > I would have to quit my job if I was trying to take on the absolutely enormous task of radiology computer aides diagnosis I think about this sort of thing every so often. The difference one person can make by creating a decent piece of software might be one of the best ways of getting a return on investment (in human hours, if not in money).
- const_cast 1y ago
  > Unless I am mistaken, the work of radiologists is more defined. When I had cancer I had to go to an Interventional Radiologist. Never heard of it before. But they use X-Ray in real-time (flouroscopy?) to guide surgery. Pretty neat.
TuringNYC 1y ago
>> The only industries that has observed the opposite effect I can think of so far are translators and stock photographers. Maybe also proof readers - but is that gen Ai or did spellcheckers already kill that branch? Voice-over performers. Sketch artists. Audiobook actors. Tutors (see: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CHGG:NYSE?window=5Y https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CHGG:NYSE?window=5Y)

vjvjvjvjghv 1y ago

Software engineers could spread out into new areas and find new things to do. Unless I am mistaken, the work of radiologists is more defined.

lostlogin 1y ago
> Software engineers could spread This is key. Radiologists that can program (or software engineers that do medicine) make a massive difference. When someone explains what they want and it’s built for them, you get a very different product to that built by the user. I want more radiologists that can write software please.
- seesthruya 1y ago
  I'm a radiologist that can program! I've authored and contributed to several open source projects over the years, and I'm currently doing a deep dive in CAD/CAM after buying a CNC machine. I help my practice where I can, and have written a little utility to make generating reports easier, but I would have to quit my job if I was trying to take on the absolutely enormous task of radiology computer aides diagnosis. And I need my job!
  - lostlogin 1y ago
    > I would have to quit my job if I was trying to take on the absolutely enormous task of radiology computer aides diagnosis I think about this sort of thing every so often. The difference one person can make by creating a decent piece of software might be one of the best ways of getting a return on investment (in human hours, if not in money).
const_cast 1y ago
> Unless I am mistaken, the work of radiologists is more defined. When I had cancer I had to go to an Interventional Radiologist. Never heard of it before. But they use X-Ray in real-time (flouroscopy?) to guide surgery. Pretty neat.

TuringNYC 1y ago

>> The only industries that has observed the opposite effect I can think of so far are translators and stock photographers. Maybe also proof readers - but is that gen Ai or did spellcheckers already kill that branch? Voice-over performers. Sketch artists. Audiobook actors. Tutors (see: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CHGG:NYSE?window=5Y https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CHGG:NYSE?window=5Y)