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> Instead, the accident was the result of a convergence of numerous deficiencies associated with all three, none of which were causal by themselves, but were ca
by the_mitsuhiko 1y ago
> Instead, the accident was the result of a convergence of numerous deficiencies associated with all three, none of which were causal by themselves, but were causal in concert. Furthermore, the breadth and depth of the deficiencies identified in this investigation was such that it calls into question the safety of Russia’s entire aviation sector.
> I know as a matter of personal experience that there are many people in Russia who are genuinely dedicated to doing things right, and I have no doubt that many of them work in the aviation industry. Granted, many of the best have left since 2022, but plenty remain. The problem is that apathy has been enshrined on an institutional level, trapping the people who care under the weight of those who do not, or who choose not to for purposes of survival. Such a culture is not easily rooted out.
One thing that is very noticeable is that since 2022, incidents in Russia largely no longer show up on avherald. I'm not sure if this is because the website no longer reports them, or because reports are not made in Russia, but it makes me feel a lot less comfortable.
In general it has become incredibly hard to judge the safety of Russia's aviation from the west.
- decimalenough 1y agoRussia is not a black hole, ASN still has plenty of incident reports: https://asn.flightsafety.org/asndb/country/RA https://asn.flightsafety.org/asndb/country/RA But we already know aviation safety in Russia is on a downward spiral, because the sanctions make it very difficult to get spare parts and, as the article notes, even notionally Russian aircraft like the SSJ-100 still rely on numerous Western parts.
- the_mitsuhiko 1y ago> Russia is not a black hole, ASN still has plenty of incident reports: https://asn.flightsafety.org/asndb/country/RA https://asn.flightsafety.org/asndb/country/RA I know, but last time I was looking they were all sourced from some telegram channels and none of had official data associated with it.
- ekianjo 1y ago> rely on numerous Western parts. Can't they get such western parts thru China?
- rad_gruchalski 1y agoYou mean "can China boycott sanctions"? They'd become sanctioned too, in no time.
- flexagoon 1y agoThat's not true, Russia already imports most of the sanctioned products through China, Turkey or Kazakhstan. Also, the west can't just sanction China. The US just raised tariffs on China, and it already had bad consequences. Outright sanctioning it would be even worse.
- rad_gruchalski 1y agoThey’re not importing Western goods through China. Otherwise they would not have a problem keeping their aircraft fleet operational. No?
- shmeeed 1y agoI'm not versed in illegal imports, but I suppose they're both more costly and more sparse than the regular channels. With russian airlines probably not being too flush with cash atm, something's gonna give, and that would be maintenance beyond absolutely necessary repairs.
- wqaatwt 1y agoProbably not so much western parts. Also regardless of China’s national policy individual Chinese companies regularly get sanctioned and are effectively forced to chose between doing business in the West and Russia. Which obviously isn’t a very hard choice for most… AFAIK most stuff is smuggled through countries in Central Asia and the Caucasus (with no negative consequences for those countries; the opposite really..)
- rob74 1y ago> the sanctions make it very difficult to get spare parts The crash described in the article is from 2019, so before meaningful sanctions against Russia were implemented. Also, the article makes a pretty good job at mentioning other factors that also contribute to Russia's bad aviation safety: > The MAK’s final report contains 49 recommendations to improve everything from simulator record-keeping to the location of the SSJ’s on-board megaphones. Many of these recommendations directly address the deficiencies described throughout this article. But despite the passage of more than 6 years since the crash, the section of the report listing safety actions taken to date contains only one entry, concerning an update to Russia’s USSR-era airport fire rescue standards. This is an abysmally inadequate response. Where is the outrage? Where is the commitment to “never again”?