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When will we get AI CEOs? I am tired of seeing corporate decisions driven by quarterly bonuses.

• falcor84 1y ago
  How is this related to TFA which focuses on national (public) labs? In any case, if you want to take a stab at it, feel free to go ahead and start a company whereby you as the owner would assign the CEO responsibilities to an AI.
  • th0ma5 1y ago
    No they probably meant existing companies... when are AI companies going to get rid of their CEOs?
    • falcor84 1y ago
      Well, if you were to ask me, I would say that the biggest bottle-neck is the productive time horizon for AIs, which is currently at about 1h before SoTA agents go off-rails, based on the METR report[0]. As the report models, this time horizon doubles approximately every 7 months (R² = 0.98 on a log-scale), and thus if we assume that a CEO's work requires a time horizon of e.g. 10,000 hours to effectively plan and implement a long-term strategy, then we could expect companies to be able to replace CEOs by around 2033. There are of course other factors at play, but knowing companies' propensity to move fast and break things, I would indeed put some money that by the end of 2033, we'll see at least one mid-sized tech company delegate most (if not all) of its CEO decision-making to an AI agent. [0] https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499 https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499