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My problem with his article is that he seems to only define "success" and "recognition" in terms of being within that top 100. There are a lot of startups that
by lazerwalker 14y ago
My problem with his article is that he seems to only define "success" and "recognition" in terms of being within that top 100.
There are a lot of startups that are profitable and have users loving their products that will never sell to Facebook for $1 billion. Using Salmon's argument, it takes pure luck to get to that Instagram-level of success. I buy that. I don't think it follows that all of those small profitable startups are therefore financial failures, which seems to be the conclusion he's drawn.
- nateberkopec 14y agoI don't think he does. You have to take the argument in context - he's talking about Nassim Taleb, who's interested in "Black Swan" 50-sigma outcomes.