2 ms·
This is great. Let us remember this link, and archive the data right now. I will wager $1000 of my own money right now that if the exact same methodology is u
by efitz 1y ago
This is great. Let us remember this link, and archive the data right now.
I will wager $1000 of my own money right now that if the exact same methodology is used to measure sea level in 10 years, as was used at the publication of the study, and if the editors do not apply any “offset” to sea levels, that in 10 years the sea level will have risen less than 50% of their predictions at more than 50% of stations.
Applying any offset for any reason or changing methodology will invalidate the bet.
I’ll try to set up a Kalshi market.
If climate change studies should be used to influence public policy, then they must be empirical, repeatable and have predictive value.