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That was not my experience. I was meeting web chat friends IRL in 1995 and none of us were the least bit afraid. IRC and the web were everything SnapChat is tod
by asadotzler 1y ago
That was not my experience. I was meeting web chat friends IRL in 1995 and none of us were the least bit afraid. IRC and the web were everything SnapChat is today and not considered any stranger than AOL IM from 5 years before that which were hardly different from the BBSes that came before the subscription services.
So, lots of people were meeting online in 1995. 5 years later couples who met on the internet were all over the place. When I moved to Silicon Valley in 2000, "I met my wife online" was hardly even a conversation starter. (I did meet my wife at The State of Insanity web chat boards in 1995.)
Also, from 1998-2008, the world invested precisely what it's now invested in the last decade of LLM AIs and was already adding over a trillion dollars annually to the global economy. AI, with that same spending over about the same amount of time, is still an economic black hole and no one has any answers that would satisfy anyone other than VC about how it's all going to pay for itself.
The internet, and particularly email, IM and the web, were going strong in the 90s and by the mid-2000s were absolutely dominant. This re-writing of history to suggest that AI deserves more runway to burn more hundreds of billions on things that will have no staying power like the trillion dollars in internet build out between '98-'08.
These things don't take time. The whole broadband internet took about a decade and about as much money as AI has gotten in this latest bubble. At least when the dot com bubble burst, we had infrastructure with staying power and real societal value, unlike AI which will leave us with next to nothing when its bubble pops.
- bandrami 1y agoThis is what I keep coming back to. If this is actually supercharging e.g. software developers, why aren't we absolutely awash in better software?
- nathanappere 1y agoBecause most software doesn’t need to be good, but just hit the “kind of does the job well enough” line. It improves velocity for this usecase.
- bandrami 1y agoOK, but if this 12Xes devs why isn't there 12 times the crappy software there was 5 years ago? I'm not seeing a massive increase in the amount of available software. Shouldn't there be dozens of new word processors? Hundreds of new MIDI sequencers? Thousands of text editors? If this is actually making software easier to make where is the software?
- nathanappere 1y agoIt assumes there is a need for that software. It's not because I can ship the nth clone of flappy bird in minutes that I will?
- bandrami 1y agoI mean, people released a billion clones of flappy bird before AI so I don't see why they would stop? The dominant mobile game genre seems to be "line up three of the same thing and get a prize which will make you want to buy a better prize in our online store"; I don't see a flood of new entrants to this space. Do LLMs just not work for mobile development? What about native? Why is the only thing I'm actually seeing produced increasingly byzantine tooling for AI itself?