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Anthropic released a study on it quite recently: https://www.anthropic.com/news/the-anthropic-economic-index https://www.anthropic.com/news/the-anthropic-econom
by muzani 1y ago
Anthropic released a study on it quite recently: https://www.anthropic.com/news/the-anthropic-economic-index https://www.anthropic.com/news/the-anthropic-economic-index
It splits tasks into augmentation (upgrading jobs) vs automation (taking jobs). But it's actually hard to separate the two - someone could ask for a full website then modify the code, which becomes augmentation.
Ironically software, especially web dev is at the top of the list. I just talked to someone yesterday who opted not to hire a designer who was being a little pushy in negotiations, and they opted to just hire v0 which would do the same thing faster. At the very least, it's replacing part-timers. We're also seeing teams shrink and churn and being replaced by less experienced (cheaper) members. That's not "taking jobs" either, but it's reducing the demand for seniors as more junior people are able to take on more senior responsibilities.