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Incidents at U.S. airports are making headlines in 2025, but these types of incidents are actually happening less often than in the past. https://www.forbes.co

Incidents at U.S. airports are making headlines in 2025, but these types of incidents are actually happening less often than in the past. https://www.forbes.com/sites/suzannerowankelleher/2025/02/26/no-runway-near-misses-are-not-on-rise/ https://www.forbes.com/sites/suzannerowankelleher/2025/02/26... Serious close calls have serious close calls have decreased over 20 years https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/airport-runway-incidents-risen-close-calls-decreased-20/story?id=97358077 https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/airport-runway-incidents-ris...

JumpCrisscross 2y ago
The problem with rising frequency is in-air close calls, not runway incursions.
- exabrial 2y ago
  Its incredible, back in 2015 how DOGE stifled the hiring of air traffic controllers: https://manhattan.institute/article/affirmative-action-lands-in-the-air-traffic-control-tower https://manhattan.institute/article/affirmative-action-lands... Elon has gone too far
- CGMthrowaway 2y ago
  Near mid-air collisions (NMAC) as they are known, are ~1000x more rare than runway incursions - only 30 total at Reagan going back to 1987, compared to 1,330 RI's in 2023 alone - and are also decreasing. https://www.bts.gov/content/number-pilot-reported-near-midair-collisions-nmac-degree-hazard https://www.bts.gov/content/number-pilot-reported-near-midai...
  - JumpCrisscross 2y ago
    > Near mid-air collisions (NMAC) as they are known, are ~1000x more rare than runway incursions - only 30 total at Reagan going back to 1987 And two this year, one which resulted in a fatal collission. We're still in a statistical grey zone for an increase. But we can reject the hypothesis that they're still decreasing.
    - CGMthrowaway 1y ago
      Given the historical data and statistical inference, observing 2 NMAC in a year @ Reagan has a probability of about 1 in 7, so it is not highly unusual.

JumpCrisscross 2y ago

The problem with rising frequency is in-air close calls, not runway incursions.

exabrial 2y ago
Its incredible, back in 2015 how DOGE stifled the hiring of air traffic controllers: https://manhattan.institute/article/affirmative-action-lands-in-the-air-traffic-control-tower https://manhattan.institute/article/affirmative-action-lands... Elon has gone too far
CGMthrowaway 2y ago
Near mid-air collisions (NMAC) as they are known, are ~1000x more rare than runway incursions - only 30 total at Reagan going back to 1987, compared to 1,330 RI's in 2023 alone - and are also decreasing. https://www.bts.gov/content/number-pilot-reported-near-midair-collisions-nmac-degree-hazard https://www.bts.gov/content/number-pilot-reported-near-midai...
- JumpCrisscross 2y ago
  > Near mid-air collisions (NMAC) as they are known, are ~1000x more rare than runway incursions - only 30 total at Reagan going back to 1987 And two this year, one which resulted in a fatal collission. We're still in a statistical grey zone for an increase. But we can reject the hypothesis that they're still decreasing.
  - CGMthrowaway 1y ago
    Given the historical data and statistical inference, observing 2 NMAC in a year @ Reagan has a probability of about 1 in 7, so it is not highly unusual.