I see this argument a lot, people are really bad at extrapolating out into the future, but and maybe this is controversial, but I feel like most technologies do

I see this argument a lot, people are really bad at extrapolating out into the future, but and maybe this is controversial, but I feel like most technologies don’t get _that_ much better as time goes on. I guess it’s like, people assume LLM’s are like the first CPU’s, where they doubled in speed every year, but maybe they’re more like the internet. A little more high fidelity but mostly just used to sell you shit and show you ads.