3 ms·
19 out of 20 could easily mean they get 119 right out of every 120 “almost certainties” and they just rolled a 1 on a die 6 for the “luck” component. One off,
by Nevermark 1y ago
19 out of 20 could easily mean they get 119 right out of every 120 “almost certainties” and they just rolled a 1 on a die 6 for the “luck” component.
One off, 1 out of N errors are really hard to interpret, even with clear objective standards.
And emphasizes why mapping regular language to objective meanings is a necessity for anything serious, but can still lead to problematic interactions.
Probability assessments are will almost always sometimes certainly could be considered likely hard!
- MichaelZuo 1y agoI think the parent was suggesting a much higher percentage for “almost certain”… like >99.9%