3 ms·
> The first-mover advantages of an AGI that can improve itself are theoretically unsurmountable. This has some baked assumptions about cycle time and improveme
by tbrownaw 1y ago
> The first-mover advantages of an AGI that can improve itself are theoretically unsurmountable.
This has some baked assumptions about cycle time and improvement per cycle and whether there's a ceiling.
- JumpCrisscross 1y ago> this has some baked assumptions about cycle time and improvement per cycle and whether there's a ceiling To be precise, it assumes a low variability in cycle time and improvement per cycle. If everyone is subjected to the same limits, the first-mover advantage remains insurmountable. I’d also argue that whether there is a ceiling matters less than how high it is. If the first AGI won’t hit a ceiling for decades, it will have decades of fratricidal supremacy.
- vgb2k18 1y ago> I’d also argue that whether there is a ceiling matters less than how high it is. How steeply the diminishing returns curve off at.