4 ms·
Article says ±3.1 days, but the author wrote a newer entry (go to homepage, click on latest article, click through to space.com link¹) that says May 10, ±2.2 da
by Aachen 2y ago
Article says ±3.1 days, but the author wrote a newer entry (go to homepage, click on latest article, click through to space.com link¹) that says May 10, ±2.2 days.
Starting to get to the range where a timezone would be helpful!
Via Wikipedia², which will probably also get updated fast, this page says they'll stay updated with the latest estimate: https://sattrackcam.blogspot.com/2025/04/kosmos-842-descent-craft-reentry.html https://sattrackcam.blogspot.com/2025/04/kosmos-842-descent-...
¹ https://www.space.com/space-exploration/launches-spacecraft/new-images-of-soviet-venus-lander-falling-to-earth-suggest-its-parachute-may-be-out https://www.space.com/space-exploration/launches-spacecraft/...
² https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kosmos_482 https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kosmos_482
- rich_sasha 2y agoThe blog post seems to say the reentry time depends somewhat on (future, unknown) solar activity, contributing to the estimation error. Why would this be? Is the solar wind strong enough to affect the velocity of a dense object such as this?
- dotancohen 2y agoThe solar wind affects the atmosphere, specifically by raising it, such that the probe may experience more atmospheric drag.
- fguerraz 2y agoSolar activity affects the outer layer of our atmosphere which expands with solar activity and affects the drag of satellites. This is how starlight lost a bunch of satellites last year.
- af78 2y agoMay 9th is in that range. My goodness, how ironic it would be if it hit the parade in Moscow...
- oleganza 2y agowhat's ironic about that?
- af78 2y agoThis spacecraft was part of the Soviet space exploration program, designed to consolidate USSR's World Power status. The Moscow military parade is meant to demonstrate the neo-imperial Russian military might, on the 80th anniversary of the USSR conquering half of Europe. That's the way it is presented, with slogans like «Можем повторить» i.e. “We can repeat it”. The former striking the latter would be a bit like a terrorist accidentally blowing up on a bomb of their own making.
- MSFT_Edging 2y ago> on the 80th anniversary of the USSR conquering half of Europe. Weird way to say defeating the Nazis despite millions in losses.
- meindnoch 2y agoThey overstayed a tiny bit.
- EndsOfnversion 2y agoYou mean former-Nazi allies the Soviet Union?
- Mountain_Skies 2y agoYes, the former Nazi allies that the Allies gleefully partnered with as soon as the opportunity presented itself. Of course that was just a one time thing and the West would never again ally itself it forces that openly call themselves Nazis. Oh wait, the West is currently doing that today. Relative moralism is something the West specializes in doing.