3 ms·
> If you are basing something on 10 incidents but it's 50% of the total, it's still terrible accuracy. The ratio of 3.2 trillion to 56.7 million, which is alr
by timewizard 1y ago
> If you are basing something on 10 incidents but it's 50% of the total, it's still terrible accuracy.
The ratio of 3.2 trillion to 56.7 million, which is already incredibly generous to Waymo's position, is 5 orders of magnitude in difference. So any calculations from Waymos data are going to be insanely inaccurate and not something you can extrapolate from.
The main, and most obvious case, evidenced by this, is Waymo does not operate where snow falls. Human beings do.
We're missing so much of the picture I don't think you can say Waymo's are 75% less accident prone, or 80% less likely to hit a pedestrian. Those are just nonsense numbers.
- achatham 1y agoThe paper under discussion only considers human accidents in similar environments to where Waymo operates. So it's only making a claim about like-for-like driving. You could still say you care about snow driving and want to see that comparison, but it doesn't mean the claims in this paper are wrong.