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>we adjust for inflation Using a very debatable inflation metric (e.g. should deflationary technological advancements in electronics manufacturing boost the "r
by fuoqi 1y ago
>we adjust for inflation
Using a very debatable inflation metric (e.g. should deflationary technological advancements in electronics manufacturing boost the "real GDP" metric?), which is quite muted (even with the post-COVID spike!) on top of that because of the "exorbitant privilege".
>that's not how it works
Suuuure. The recent examples of collusion between banks, the government, and the central bank to quickly increase amount of base money is not outright "money printing", just benign "quantitative easing", nothing to see here.
>crowding out
This works only when government engages in "fair" and competitive debt issuance. But we see a different picture, government bonds are counted as bank reserves and even worse banks do not even have to apply the mark-to-market accounting rules for them in some cases. And everyone knows that the Fed immediately will ride to the rescue on the first sign of trouble in the bond market as was done during not-QE.
>reckless fiscal policy alone doesn't "manipulate the GPD values"
Alone? No. But it certainly boosts GDP (both real and nominal) in the near term and makes the economy look better than it really is. It's the same story as in China where they had massive "infrastructure investments" to artificially stimulate the economy and make GDP numbers look good. We can see in the real time how it unravels.
- braiamp 1y ago> Using a very debatable inflation metric No, there's no debate in using a deflator. The deflator only takes into account monetary effects on the currency. Why there isn't one? Because nobody knows that thing exists! GDP deflators are calculated and used around the world by non-partisan. And even when partisanship is involved, the people discussing it [0] have the knowledge to be able to discuss it. > The recent examples of collusion between banks, the government, and the central bank to quickly increase amount of base money is not outright "money printing", just benign "quantitative easing", nothing to see here. Ok dude, you have an obvious ax to grind. I guess expecting actual constructive economic debate was my misinterpretation. [0]: https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/explained-economics/explainspeaking-india-gdp-controversy-8947783/ https://indianexpress.com/article/explained/explained-econom...