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I wanted to add: The demographical shift over time will eventually lead to degradation of LLM performance, because more content will be of worse quality and tr
by cookiengineer 1y ago
I wanted to add:
The demographical shift over time will eventually lead to degradation of LLM performance, because more content will be of worse quality and transformers are a concept that loses symbolic inference.
So, assuming that LLMs will increase in performance will only be true for the current generations of software engineers, whereas the next generations will lead automatically to worse LLM performance once they've replaced the demographic of the current seniors.
Additionally, every knowledge resource that led to the current generation's advancements is dying out due to proprietarization.
Courses, wikis, forums, tutorials... they all are now part of the enshittification cycle, which means that in the future they will contain less factual content per actual amount of content - which in return will also contribute to making LLM performance worse.
Add to that the problems that come with such platforms, like the stackoverflow mod strikes or the ongoing reddit moderation crisis, and you got a recipe for Idiocracy.
I decided to archive a copy of all books, courses, wikis and websites that led to my advancements in my career, so I have a backup of it. I encourage everyone to do the same. They might be worth a lot in the future, given how the trend is progressing.