Before I read the article, I like to know who wrote it to understand whether I should spend or waste my time reading the article. After a bit of digging it tur

Before I read the article, I like to know who wrote it to understand whether I should spend or waste my time reading the article. After a bit of digging it turned out the author isn't lying. There actually is a contest for forecasters and of those who participated, he was consistently in relatively high positions. See 2022: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gS8Jmcfoa9FAh92YK/crosspost-acx-2022-prediction-contest-results https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gS8Jmcfoa9FAh92YK/crosspost-... At the same time, he is the CEO of Rethin Priorities think tank which seems to be excellent work for the society at large: https://rethinkpriorities.org/ https://rethinkpriorities.org/ So I'm bookmarking this article and will read it during my reading session today.