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> This seems to pretty much ignore AI and robots which will be able to do all/most of the work way before 2060 Just like self-driving has revolutionized trucki
by tenacious_tuna 1y ago
> This seems to pretty much ignore AI and robots which will be able to do all/most of the work way before 2060
Just like self-driving has revolutionized trucking, even before 2020!
/s
- Qem 1y agoAlso flying cars are just around the corner, since the 1950s.
- tim333 1y agoI've always thought the Moravec/Kurzweil prediction of human level AI around 2029 was reasonable and that was predicted from about 1990 based on extrapolating a log graph and it hasn't really budged. It seems roughly on track. Progress is patchy - you still can't have a robot come round and make coffee but on more abstract stuff like IQ tests they passed 100 last year and recently got 136 https://cryptoslate.com/openais-o3-scores-136-on-mensa-norway-test-surpassing-98-of-human-population/ https://cryptoslate.com/openais-o3-scores-136-on-mensa-norwa... Also give the trucks a chance! The first one with no driver in should be going from Dallas to Houston around now https://www.govtech.com/transportation/what-to-know-as-self-driving-trucks-hit-texas-highways https://www.govtech.com/transportation/what-to-know-as-self-...