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The nuclear family worked when you could easily have a single household provider, it doesn’t work anymore and the recent trend of having multi generational hous

The nuclear family worked when you could easily have a single household provider, it doesn’t work anymore and the recent trend of having multi generational households seems to be completely driven by people not being able to afford to move out. I always pondered if child baring should be done as a generational leap. As in how would society look like if people have kids in their 20’s with the grandparents who are in their 40’s being the primary caretakers and rinse and repeat. Seems that this combines the best outcomes in terms of biology and still being able pursue educational and career goals. But this is a very major shift from where we are today. It’s going to be far more likely that more and more people will start having children in their late 30’s and even 40’s and 50’s. If we are going that way then freezing sprem and eggs at a young age should be much cheaper than it is now and people should really start considering it.

toomuchtodo 2y ago
Presume that a majority of women of reproductive age per generation al cohort do not want children, and intend to exit those fertility years childfree. What then? I see no crisis, only total fertility rates reaching a neutral rate based on women empowered to make the best choice for themselves. https://www.axios.com/2024/07/25/adults-no-children-why-pew-data https://www.axios.com/2024/07/25/adults-no-children-why-pew-... https://www.dw.com/en/why-south-korean-women-arent-having-babies/a-68419317 https://www.dw.com/en/why-south-korean-women-arent-having-ba... https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20240918-chile-birth-rate-plummets-as-women-say-no-to-motherhood https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20240918-chile-birth-r...
- dogma1138 2y ago
  Society will have to correct itself somehow, either through social change or technological advancement that or we will all go extinct… I actually wonder why this isn’t a bigger talking point, we are probably not at the point of no return yet but many countries are getting there and people will be caught by surprise as whilst the effect is delayed human life expectancy isn’t that long and it doesn’t take more than a couple of generations like ours until we are going to be facing a major crisis. I really don’t know where we went wrong, and I’m not sure it’s purely financial either (tho it is for many), at least from my anecdotal experience.
  - toomuchtodo 2y ago
    The population ballooned because women were not educated and empowered. Now that they are, and have robust access to family planning, TFR is coming down rapidly and population will eventually follow. Where we went wrong? Women not being empowered in the first place. This is the fix, not a problem. This is a success story. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40982392 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40982392 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41225389 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41225389
    - dogma1138 2y ago
      I don’t know what’s right or wrong but can we agree that TFR below replacement isn’t sustainable in the long term? Even if you don’t see shrinking population as a massive problem which it will be, if the TFR remains below ~2.1 humanity won’t be here for much longer.
      - toomuchtodo 2y ago
        I disagree. The world has ~8.2B people, and has blown past 6 out of 9 planetary boundaries while headed to 9-10B people by 2100 (due to population momentum). Humanity will successfully continue on with an order of magnitude reduction in that number 150-200 years from now, based on a median global TFR of ~0.5-1. TFR isn’t going to 0. We can plan accordingly, if we choose to. We are currently on the unsustainable path; a lower TFR puts us closer to sustainability. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458 https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458 https://www.un.org/en/global-issues/population https://www.un.org/en/global-issues/population
        dogma1138 2y ago
        You can disagree all you want but if the TFR of the world becomes as low as the one of Chile we will get to below 1 billion people world wide within less than a century and go extinct within a millennia and the latter is based on that life expectancy won’t change and if there will be that big of a reduction in population life expectancy will plummet. I’m also not sure how much empowerment anyone will have once we are forced back to living as agrarian subsistence farmers within a few generations. So I don’t know if you are trolling at this point or not…

toomuchtodo 2y ago

Presume that a majority of women of reproductive age per generation al cohort do not want children, and intend to exit those fertility years childfree. What then? I see no crisis, only total fertility rates reaching a neutral rate based on women empowered to make the best choice for themselves. https://www.axios.com/2024/07/25/adults-no-children-why-pew-data https://www.axios.com/2024/07/25/adults-no-children-why-pew-... https://www.dw.com/en/why-south-korean-women-arent-having-babies/a-68419317 https://www.dw.com/en/why-south-korean-women-arent-having-ba... https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20240918-chile-birth-rate-plummets-as-women-say-no-to-motherhood https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20240918-chile-birth-r...

dogma1138 2y ago
Society will have to correct itself somehow, either through social change or technological advancement that or we will all go extinct… I actually wonder why this isn’t a bigger talking point, we are probably not at the point of no return yet but many countries are getting there and people will be caught by surprise as whilst the effect is delayed human life expectancy isn’t that long and it doesn’t take more than a couple of generations like ours until we are going to be facing a major crisis. I really don’t know where we went wrong, and I’m not sure it’s purely financial either (tho it is for many), at least from my anecdotal experience.
- toomuchtodo 2y ago
  The population ballooned because women were not educated and empowered. Now that they are, and have robust access to family planning, TFR is coming down rapidly and population will eventually follow. Where we went wrong? Women not being empowered in the first place. This is the fix, not a problem. This is a success story. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40982392 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=40982392 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41225389 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41225389
  - dogma1138 2y ago
    I don’t know what’s right or wrong but can we agree that TFR below replacement isn’t sustainable in the long term? Even if you don’t see shrinking population as a massive problem which it will be, if the TFR remains below ~2.1 humanity won’t be here for much longer.
    - toomuchtodo 2y ago
      I disagree. The world has ~8.2B people, and has blown past 6 out of 9 planetary boundaries while headed to 9-10B people by 2100 (due to population momentum). Humanity will successfully continue on with an order of magnitude reduction in that number 150-200 years from now, based on a median global TFR of ~0.5-1. TFR isn’t going to 0. We can plan accordingly, if we choose to. We are currently on the unsustainable path; a lower TFR puts us closer to sustainability. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458 https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adh2458 https://www.un.org/en/global-issues/population https://www.un.org/en/global-issues/population
      - dogma1138 2y ago
        You can disagree all you want but if the TFR of the world becomes as low as the one of Chile we will get to below 1 billion people world wide within less than a century and go extinct within a millennia and the latter is based on that life expectancy won’t change and if there will be that big of a reduction in population life expectancy will plummet. I’m also not sure how much empowerment anyone will have once we are forced back to living as agrarian subsistence farmers within a few generations. So I don’t know if you are trolling at this point or not…