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> and another AI winter will settle in with the upcoming Oh, please. Even if every cent of VC funding dries up tomorrow we'd still have years of discovering ho
by NitpickLawyer 2y ago
> and another AI winter will settle in with the upcoming
Oh, please. Even if every cent of VC funding dries up tomorrow we'd still have years of discovering how to use LLMs and "generative models" in general to do cool, useful stuff. And by "we" I mean everyone, at every level. The proverbial bearded dude in his mom's basement, the young college grad, phd researcher, big tech researcher, and everyone in the middle. The cat is out of the bag, and this tech is here to stay.
The various AI winters came because of many reasons, none that are present today. Todays tech is cool! It's also immediately useful (oAI, anthropic, goog are already selling billions of $ worth of tokens!). And it's highly transformative. The amount of innovation in the past 2 years is bonkers. And, for the first time, it's also accessible to "home users". Alpaca was to llama what the home computer was to computers. It showed that anyone can take any of the open models and train them on their downstream tasks for cheap. And guess what, everyone is doing it. From horny teens to business analysts, they're all using this, today.
Also, as opposed to the last time (which also coincided with the .com bubble), this time the tech is supported and mainly financed by the top tech firms. VCs are not alone in this one. Between MS, goog, AMZ, Meta and even AAPL, they're all pouring billions into this. They'll want to earn their money back, so like it or not, this thing is here to stay. (hell, even IBM! is doing gen ai =)) )
So no, AI winter is not coming.