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Yes, in this theoretical world where stocks trend down over extended periods of time, I could see this being an issue. In the fairy farts world of the US stock
by SecretDreams 2y ago
Yes, in this theoretical world where stocks trend down over extended periods of time, I could see this being an issue.
In the fairy farts world of the US stock markets, we don't often see mega corps trend down. That's why every American pension is piled into SP500... Which is really driven by the growth of like 10 companies, tops.
- robertlagrant 2y agoBut that's only if they keep generating value. Plenty of companies don't do that and we forget about them. Basing one's worldview only on peak performers is the apex fallacy[0]. [0] https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Apex_fallacy https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Apex_fallacy (I know, I know, rationalwiki)
- SecretDreams 2y agoIt doesn't need to hit peak. It just needs to be a good bit above where it was issued. Zuckerberg, e.g., could run this strategy indefinitely, even if meta dropped by 50%. He'll still defer the cap gains until his grave.