true, impossible to come up with a scientific answer, but you could compare with european countries who also went through a similar covid response and start to

true, impossible to come up with a scientific answer, but you could compare with european countries who also went through a similar covid response and start to see a bit of a trend leap out. For what it's worth I'm not sure if the number is actually 10%, but I'd hazard that it's more than 5/6.