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This take is not compatible with reality. China is nowhere near peer with the US militarily. Small drones are irrelevant for a Taiwan invasion. They don't have

This take is not compatible with reality. China is nowhere near peer with the US militarily. Small drones are irrelevant for a Taiwan invasion. They don't have the range to get to Taiwan, and anything large enough to carry them will get poked full of holes on its way across the strait. The US meanwhile can bomb all of those manufacturing sites, while China is unable to bomb the US mainland. The best China could do in this situation would be to nuke Taiwan and make the whole thing irrelevant, but why bother at that point. It's much easier to attack the will of the US to defend Taiwan ahead of time. A US committed to military defense of Taiwan would not be defeated.

_t9ow 2y ago
> China is nowhere near peer with the US militarily. Neither was Vietnam, Iraq, or Afghanistan. Military prowess doesn't paint the whole picture.
- margalabargala 2y ago
  It does in this context. The goal here was stated as "prevent China from militarily taking control of Taiwan". It wasn't "occupy Taiwan/Beijing/wherever and deal with an insurgency". The US left Vietnam due to lack of national willpower, not due to military defeat. Again, the problem statement here was formulated with "given a nationally united, determined US". China, attempting to invade Taiwan and being met by the US military, would fare little better than Saddam Hussein's military did either time they went toe-to-toe with the US. The insurgency afterwards is not relevant to the discussion, as the US need not try to occupy China.