If it does, what are the odds we would be able to see it? For starters, I would imagine it is at least 50% likely to hit the far side of the Moon, which we ~ne

If it does, what are the odds we would be able to see it? For starters, I would imagine it is at least 50% likely to hit the far side of the Moon, which we ~never see. Perhaps worse, because for it to hit the near side, it has to fly past the Earth somewhat, diminishing the odds. But then, it also needs to be on the lit side. On the expected date of impact, 22nd Dec 2032, it will be 2 days after new moon, so not much lit area to aim for. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯