4 ms·

I read your comment and the pdf and I guess my question is answered. “No, we did not consider asymmetric and possibly massively impactful scenarios like control

I read your comment and the pdf and I guess my question is answered. “No, we did not consider asymmetric and possibly massively impactful scenarios like control of low earth orbit munitions deployed on a massive scale.”

Teever 2y ago
I interpreted your question as asking if the US could use SpaceX's rocket manufacturing capacity to produce ICBMs that could be used to hit Chinese ships. Now that I see that this was not what you're suggesting I don't think that two years is a sufficient time frame to build, test, and deploy the kinds of weapons that you're suggesting. It seems like America is sleep walking into a horrible conflict with China and this combined with all of the soft power that America is losing in the past few months doesn't bode well for the outcome of this conflict.
- weard_beard 2y ago
  That’s where I’d start looking for advantage.
hedora 2y ago
It’s not particularly asymmetric. China has ICBMS and is upwind from the US. It’s hard to imagine non-civilization-ending conflicts where dropping space rocks on China comes into play.
- weard_beard 2y ago
  Imagine harder.
  - Teever 2y ago
    Can you describe in greater detail what you're imagining?
    - weard_beard 2y ago
      Not for free and not in the span of a post, no. I’d love to do it over 6 months for 5 million dollars with a team of 6
      - Teever 2y ago
        "I have discovered a truly marvelous proof of this, which this margin is too narrow to contain."
        weard_beard 2y ago
        Not at all. I believe the US government has already studied this, published the outcome, and probably knows anything I or most teams of experts could. I think it’s in a drawer somewhere labeled, “For use in case of war with China under US dictator” but if we need to pretend it’s new information I’m offering my services.
        Teever 2y ago
        The question isn't whether or not the US has the technical means sitting somewhere in a drawer to do this, the question is whether or not they have the industrial capacity and political will to do this in the time frame needed to avert losing dozens of ships and hundreds of aircraft as well as the lives of tens of thousands of soldiers. The answer to that question unfortunately appears to be 'no.'
        weard_beard 2y ago
        If we've gamed out who's going to win and we know it is US, why would we keep that information a secret? If there were a plan sitting in a drawer somewhere that showed the US colonizing mainland China at the cost of half a million US military personnel I'd be sure that plan accidentally leaked. Or a fake version of it that cost 5 million and took six months
        2y ago

Teever 2y ago

I interpreted your question as asking if the US could use SpaceX's rocket manufacturing capacity to produce ICBMs that could be used to hit Chinese ships. Now that I see that this was not what you're suggesting I don't think that two years is a sufficient time frame to build, test, and deploy the kinds of weapons that you're suggesting. It seems like America is sleep walking into a horrible conflict with China and this combined with all of the soft power that America is losing in the past few months doesn't bode well for the outcome of this conflict.

weard_beard 2y ago
That’s where I’d start looking for advantage.

hedora 2y ago

It’s not particularly asymmetric. China has ICBMS and is upwind from the US. It’s hard to imagine non-civilization-ending conflicts where dropping space rocks on China comes into play.

weard_beard 2y ago
Imagine harder.
- Teever 2y ago
  Can you describe in greater detail what you're imagining?
  - weard_beard 2y ago
    Not for free and not in the span of a post, no. I’d love to do it over 6 months for 5 million dollars with a team of 6
    - Teever 2y ago
      "I have discovered a truly marvelous proof of this, which this margin is too narrow to contain."
      - weard_beard 2y ago
        Not at all. I believe the US government has already studied this, published the outcome, and probably knows anything I or most teams of experts could. I think it’s in a drawer somewhere labeled, “For use in case of war with China under US dictator” but if we need to pretend it’s new information I’m offering my services.
        Teever 2y ago
        The question isn't whether or not the US has the technical means sitting somewhere in a drawer to do this, the question is whether or not they have the industrial capacity and political will to do this in the time frame needed to avert losing dozens of ships and hundreds of aircraft as well as the lives of tens of thousands of soldiers. The answer to that question unfortunately appears to be 'no.'
        weard_beard 2y ago
        If we've gamed out who's going to win and we know it is US, why would we keep that information a secret? If there were a plan sitting in a drawer somewhere that showed the US colonizing mainland China at the cost of half a million US military personnel I'd be sure that plan accidentally leaked. Or a fake version of it that cost 5 million and took six months
        2y ago