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It won't be able to write a compelling novel, or build a software system solving a real-world problem, or operate heavy machinery, create a sprite sheet or 3d m
by kubb 2y ago
It won't be able to write a compelling novel, or build a software system solving a real-world problem, or operate heavy machinery, create a sprite sheet or 3d models, design a building or teach.
Long term planning and execution and operating in the physical world is not within reach. Slight variations of known problems should be possible (as long as the size of the solution is small enough).
- lumenwrites 2y agoI'm pretty sure you're wrong for at least 2 of those: For 3D models, check out blender-mcp: https://old.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1joaowb/claude_working_inside_of_blender/ https://old.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1joaowb/claude... https://old.reddit.com/r/aiwars/comments/1jbsn86/claude_creates_3d_model_on_blender_based_on_a_2d/ https://old.reddit.com/r/aiwars/comments/1jbsn86/claude_crea... Also this: https://old.reddit.com/r/StableDiffusion/comments/1hejglg/trellis_1_click_3d_models_with_comfyui/ https://old.reddit.com/r/StableDiffusion/comments/1hejglg/tr... For teaching, I'm using it to learn about tech I'm unfamiliar with every day, it's one of the things it's the most amazing at. For the things where the tolerance for mistakes is extremely low and the things where human oversight is extremely importamt, you might be right. It won't have to be perfect (just better than an average human) for that to happen, but I'm not sure if it will.
- kubb 2y agoJust think about the delta of what the LLM does and what a human does, or why can’t the LLM replace the human, e.g. in a game studio. If it can replace a teacher or an artist in 2027, you’re right and I’m wrong.
- esafak 2y agoIt's already replacing artists; that's why they're up in arms. People don't need stock photographers or graphic designers as much as they used to. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4602944 https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4602944
- kubb 2y agoI know that artists don’t like AI, because it’s trained on their stolen work. And yet, AI can’t create a sprite sheet for a 2d game. This is because it can steal a single artwork but it can’t make a collection of visually consistent assets.
- cheevly 2y agoBro what are you even talking about? ControlNet has been able to produce consistent assets for years. How exactly do you think video models work? Frame to frame coherency has been possible for a long time now. A sprite sheet?! Are you joking me. Literally churning them out with AI since 2023.
- programd 2y agoDoes a fighter jet count as "heavy machinery"? https://apnews.com/article/artificial-intelligence-fighter-jets-air-force-6a1100c96a73ca9b7f41cbd6a2753fda https://apnews.com/article/artificial-intelligence-fighter-j...
- pixl97 2y ago> or operate heavy machinery What exactly do you mean by this one? In large mining operations we already have human assisted teleoperation AI equipment. Was watching one recently where the human got 5 or so push dozers lined up with a (admittedly simple) task of cutting a hill down and then just got them back in line if they ran into anything outside of their training. The push and backup operations along with blade control were done by the AI/dozer itself. Now, this isn't long term planning, but it is operating in the real world.
- kubb 2y agoOperating an excavator when building a stretch of road. Won’t happen by 2027.