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> So was Moore's law dead 20 years ago? Clearly not. Agree. It is only 'dead' because Moore's law is about the cost per transistor, and Nvidia wants to keep th
by Shorel 2y ago
> So was Moore's law dead 20 years ago? Clearly not.
Agree. It is only 'dead' because Moore's law is about the cost per transistor, and Nvidia wants to keep that price constant.
Double the transistors? Double the price of the chips. That's Nvidia's wet dream.
I hope this backfires on Nvidia and the standard Moore's law returns.
- gizmo 2y agoNo, Moore's law is the number of transistors on a chip doubling every 2 years. Quantity not cost.
- Shorel 2y agoWhat Moore said in the paper was about cost per transistor. It got misinterpreted during the 90s, that's all.
- rsfern 2y agoWhat is “standard Moore’s law”? People say that Moore’s law has been dead for 20 years because that’s when the industry hit the power wall and had to pivot from simply reducing transistor size to parallelism and these other engineering strategies for keeping the performance growth curve going. I don’t think that’s coming back without solving some really difficult materials and semiconductor physics problems
- Shorel 2y agoThe original article by Moore says: "The complexity for minimum component costs has increased at a rate of roughly a factor of two per year. Certainly over the short term this rate can be expected to continue, if not to increase." It is clearly about cost per transistor, it is/was correlated with performance, but it is not about performance. What Nvidia is doing is claiming that they will fight against lower costs per transistor with all their might, which means any efficiency improvement will translate into more profit for them, and never into lower prices for customers.
- deleted 2y ago[deleted]
- baal80spam 2y ago> I hope this backfires on Nvidia May I ask why? Why would you want a company to fail?
- formerly_proven 2y agoThere is huge gulf between "having 70%/55% gross/net margins" and "company fails".
- Shorel 2y agoReturning to lowering prices per transistor each generation is not failing.