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I don’t think it’s the focus of this, but we do now live in a time where the collapse could potentially happen in an hour.
by wat10000 2y ago
I don’t think it’s the focus of this, but we do now live in a time where the collapse could potentially happen in an hour.
- borntoolate 2y agoEven if the collapse is a fuzzy decades one I think it would also have an ever increasing probability of the remainder in under an hour as something entirely forgotten fails.
- danpalmer 2y agoWhy do you think that? I'm assuming you're talking about the internet, networked services, etc, because that's the only conceivable way a collapse could happen that quickly... except all modern infrastructure we rely on like that has backups and redundancy built in, and largely separated failure domains, so that such a failure would never be able to happen that quickly.
- lukev 2y agoI assume they mean nuclear war.
- wat10000 2y agoYes, exactly. Even if some fabs survived, the ability to supply and staff them would not last long. The world's ability to manufacture advanced computers would disappear.
- N19PEDL2 2y agohttps://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cybergeddon https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cybergeddon
- perrygeo 2y agoOr worse, decades in the future when historians look back, they might determine that collapse started before 2025 (perhaps 9/11, 2008 financial collapse, covid, the re-emergence of populist fascism, AI, microplastics, climate change ... take your pick). Which means we might be living in collapse now, we just don't know it yet. "The Long Emergency" as James Howard Kunstler put it.
- panarky 2y agoHasn't Kunstler been predicting the imminent end of oil supplies since the 1990s? When a professional prognosticator's prognostications continue to be falsified by actual events, year after endless year, at some point don't people stop listening to them?
- andsoitis 2y agowhat do you think about the idea, though?
- -__---____-ZXyw 2y ago> When a professional prognosticator's prognostications continue to be falsified by actual events, year after endless year, at some point don't people stop listening to them? Funnily enough - not whatsoever! And the benefits of this amazing fact are reaped by economists* the world over, year after year. * And, to be fair, journalists, politicians, various flavours of youtuber, etc, etc.
- UltraSane 2y ago"When a professional prognosticator's prognostications continue to be falsified by actual events, year after endless year, at some point don't people stop listening to them?" Yet people still listen to Musk about when Tesla will have autonomous driving.
- peppers-ghost 2y agowe'll be terraforming mars soon I just know it!
- gblargg 2y agoLike falling into a black hole; you don't notice as it happens, only looking back with more context.
- rixed 2y agoOh I see now, thank you for the helpful analogy! :)