3 ms·
In this analogy the unknown is the number of sides on the dice (probability of life), we know there are an astonishingly large number of stars and planets that
by grey-area 2y ago
In this analogy the unknown is the number of sides on the dice (probability of life), we know there are an astonishingly large number of stars and planets that life could evolve on, so a very large number of throws, we just don’t know how hard it is for life to emerge.
I agree with you the odds are strongly in favour of us not being first or unique. I didn’t say we must be first but find it very unlikely given the numbers.
- seba_dos1 2y agoYes, and if the probability of life turns out to be even more astonishingly small number, you may very well end up with six 10,000-sided dice :) My intuition tells me it's not like that, but it's nothing but intuition.