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This sounds far more likely to be a failure of imagination along the same lines as malthusian catastrophe, peak oil, and Moore's Law Is Dead (all notoriously ov
by smallmancontrov 2y ago
This sounds far more likely to be a failure of imagination along the same lines as malthusian catastrophe, peak oil, and Moore's Law Is Dead (all notoriously oversubscribed by academics) than a true constraint.
- cratermoon 2y agoPredictions for the exact date of peak oil were wrong, but it will still happen. In fact, Alaska's oil production peaked in 1988, conventional oil production peaked around 2005, and new oil discoveries peaked in the 1960s. Exxon-Mobil acknowledges publicly that all the "easy" fossil fuels have been found. Modern fossil fuel production is complex, difficult, expensive, and hugely damaging to ecosystems. Many of the claimed reserves may not be reachable even with current sophisticated extraction methods. The growth will end, the world will start sliding down the other side of the curve. It's only a question of when.