4 ms·
Because ai is following a predicable trend of exponentially increasing task length @50% probability: https://x.com/METR_Evals/status/1902384481111322929 https:/
by aoeusnth1 2y ago
Because ai is following a predicable trend of exponentially increasing task length @50% probability: https://x.com/METR_Evals/status/1902384481111322929 https://x.com/METR_Evals/status/1902384481111322929
If we are the top of an s-curve, the recent samples on that curve would be below the trend line, not above it.