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The cars we have today are not so far off from the cars of 100 years ago. So yes, I highly doubt another 20 years of development, after all the low hanging frui
by moron4hire 2y ago
The cars we have today are not so far off from the cars of 100 years ago. So yes, I highly doubt another 20 years of development, after all the low hanging fruit has already been picked, will see much change at all.
- ModernMech 2y ago"after all the low hanging fruit has already been picked" Another great analogy. LLMs allow us to pick low hanging fruit faster. If we want to pick the higher fruit, we'll need fundamentally different equipment, not automated ways to pick low hanging fruit.
- bluefirebrand 2y agoFor what its worth I agree quite strongly with you and moron4hire in this thread I wanted to make an observation that what you two are describing seems to me like it maps onto the Pareto principle quite neatly LLMs seem like they have rapidly (maybe exponentially) approached the 80% effectiveness threshold, but the last 20% is going to be a much higher bar to clear I think a lot of the disagreement around how useful these tools are is based around this. You can tell which people are happy with 80% accuracy versus those with higher standards